By Pat Anson, PNN Editor

The U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration will further reduce the supply of codeine, morphine, oxycodone and other prescription opioids in 2024, ignoring complaints from thousands of patients that opioid pain medication is already difficult to obtain and many pharmacies are out of stock.

In a notice pre-published Friday in the Federal Register, the DEA said it would stick with plans to cut aggregate production quotas (APQs) for prescription opioids for the eighth consecutive year, reducing the supply to levels not seen in nearly a decade.

“After considering all of the relevant factors, DEA has determined that the APQs of prescription opioids should be reduced from calendar year 2023 APQ levels and they are sufficient to meet the forecasted domestic and foreign medical needs,” the DEA said.

Under the Controlled Substances Act, the DEA has broad legal authority to set APQs annually for hundreds of Schedule I and II chemicals and medications – in effect telling drug manufacturers how much they can make each year.

Acting on the advice of the Food and Drug Administration, which estimates there will be a be a 7.9% decline in medical need for opioids next year, the DEA in early November published its proposed APQs for 2024 in the Federal Register and invited public comment.      

Nearly 4,700 comments came in, mostly from pain patients worried that further cuts in the opioid supply would worsen shortages and interfere with their treatment.  

“I am pretty much bed bound. A couple of weeks ago I tried taking my life,” one patient wrote. “No one should have to suffer like this. These are medications that work. And why is it that the prescriptions have gone down but overdoses have gone up?”

“Please do not cut the Rx opioid production amount anymore. There is a severe shortage and many people who have prescriptions cannot get them filled at a pharmacy,” another poster said.

The American Society of Health-System Pharmacists (ASHP) has been warning about shortages of hydrocodone and oxycodone for months, but those shortages have yet to be recognized by the FDA or DEA.  If any shortages exist, DEA said they were out of its control and blamed the “temporary lack of inventory” on drug manufacturers.

“DEA utilizes the available, reliable data and information received by the agency at the time APQs are proposed and proactively monitors drug production, distribution and supply during the year. However, drug shortages may occur subsequently due to factors outside of DEA control such as manufacturing and quality problems, processing delays, supply chain disruptions, or discontinuations,” the agency said.

“Manufacturers’ business practices may… potentially contribute to a temporary lack of inventory of controlled substances at the point of dispensation. In recent years, this has included labor shortages and a lack of production capacity.”

The DEA’s final order reduces the supply of codeine year-to-year by 8.3 percent, followed by morphine (4.3%), hydromorphone (2.1%), hydrocodone (0.35%) and oxycodone (0.34%). Since 2015, APQs for most opioids have been cut by over two-thirds.

DEA admits that its “reliable data” on drug production may not be all that reliable. The agency said there was a “lack of real-time data and gaps in its understanding of production lead times,” which weaken its ability to respond to drug shortages. As a result, it was seeking more up to date information from manufacturers on their drug sales and inventory.

Late Notice to Drug Makers

The production quotas for 2024 won’t be officially published in the Federal Register until Wednesday, January 3rd – which is about a month overdue and gives little time for drug manufacturers to prepare for the coming year. That appears to be a violation of the Controlled Substances Act (CSA), which stipulates that APQs be established by the U.S. Attorney General – who the DEA reports to -- “on or before December 1 of each year.”  

(Update: In a 1/4/24 email to PNN, the DEA confirmed that drug makers were only now being notified of their quota allotments for 2024. “DEA registrants cannot receive notification of their individual quotas until the final APQ notice is signed and published in the FR (Federal Register) per the CSA,” the email said. There was no explanation for the late publication of the final APQ.)   

Another concern for drug makers besides the late notice is a DEA plan to set production quotas for each company on a quarterly basis, instead of annually. A Pfizer representative expressed strong reservations about that, saying it could hamstring drug production and worsen shortages of injectable drugs used in anesthesia, which have been in short supply for years.  

“DEA’s proposal to allocate quota on a quarterly basis will make manufacturing lead times, planning schedules, and resource allocation extremely difficult if not untenable,” Jennifer Walton, Senior Vice President at Pfizer, wrote in a letter to the agency.

“As an example, from the time API (active pharmaceutical ingredient) is received at a manufacturing plant to the time finished product is ready for shipment, the lead time can be as long as six months, stretching over multiple quarters. Given those time frames, DEA’s proposed quarterly quota grants will likely result in interruptions in supply of sterile injectable products used in the inpatient setting.”